Thursday | July 17, 2003
Cattle Call 2004: 7/17
Last week's rankings: 1) Dean, 2) Kerry, 3) Gephardt, 4) Edwards, 5) Lieberman, 6) Kucinich, 7) Graham, 8) Sharpton, and 9) Moseley-Braun.
1. Howard Dean
His national numbers are also vastly improved, though long-time readers know how I feel about such polls in the primary process (I find them generally useless).
2. John Kerry
Still, Kerry has a difficult conundrum -- he voted for the war. He can hem and haw and say, "I wanted Bush to get UN backing" or whatever, but the resolution he voted for didn't specify any such requirements. So he's left to argue, "Bush tricked me too." How many Democrat voters feel comfortable with a candidate who has already been hoodwinked by the president?
3. Dick Gephardt
But that's not the worst of it. Gephardt's campaign has been getting hammered over its Q2 fundraising results. You know it's bad when the candidate himself says:
Look, you never raise what you want to raise. We fell a little short of what we wanted to raise, but we fixed some of the concerns we had with the operation and we're going to do better.Part of that "fixing" was "personnel changes" at the campaigns fundraising operation.
These numbers are important -- the less Gephardt looks like a winner (and low fundraising totals give that impression), the harder it will be for him to raise more money, and the less eager Gephardt's all-important union supporters will be to offer their financial and organizational support.
(Missing the overtime vote, when the GOP's margin of victory was a measly two votes, probably didn't help either.)
4. John Edwards
His fundraising numbers were down, but still respectable. Still, it's crunch time. He plans on airing ads soon, which according to his strategy will catapult him into contention. Those ads better work, because he's fast becoming irrelevant.
5. Joe Lieberman
He skipped the NAACP forum and got the same tongue lashing as Gephardt and Kucinich. Again, I think Mfume's tirade was ridiculous and completely undeserved. One of those candidates may have gotten some political points had they used the occassion to pull a "Sister Souljah moment", but none of them did. And let's not forget -- Lieberman is really depending on the African-American vote
Lieberman has also plummeted in the latest national poll. I only mention this because those national polls gave Lieberman his only ray of hope in this campaign.
7. Dennis Kucinich
8. Al Sharpton
9. Carol Moseley-Braun
Others: Biden and Clark. Both will probably run.Posted July 17, 2003 08:41 AM