Thursday | October 24, 2002
Shaheen's surge continues unabated
A new American Research Group poll shows good news all around for NH Democrats.
The US Senate race between John Sununu and Jeanne Shaheen is now too close to call (48% Sununu to 46% Shaheen) as the attacks on Sununu are working among undeclared voters. Republicans continue to lead in the other 3 races.Keep in mind that the ARG polls have consistently given Sununu his best numbers among independent polls.
October 20-22The fact that ARG shows this race in a statistical dead heat is bad news for Sununu. Furthermore, Sen. Bob Smith's grudge against Sununu continues unabated, ensuring that several grassroot efforts on behalf of the ousted senator will continue.
Sen. Bob Smith (R-N.H.) has rebuffed several appeals from President Bush's top political adviser, Karl Rove, to bury the hatchet with the man who ousted him in the primary, GOP Rep. John Sununu, undercutting Republican claims ofsolidarity in the Granite State and potentially hurting the party's chances to retain his seat.There is a great deal of bad blood between the Sununu and Smith camps, exemplified by this incident:
[Writeinsmith.com] got some attention in early October when its treasurer, Judy Gosselin, alleged that a Sununu campaign worker had torn down their signs along Bush's motorcade route in Manchester.Even if the write-in efforts only garner several thousand votes (or keep several thousand die-hard Smith supporters at home election day) it will be enough to hand Shaheen the seat. And to hear Smith backers talk, they would actually welcome a Shaheen victory, viewing it as a big middle finger at a White House that engineered Smith's ouster. (Which makes you wonder whether these same groups will also work to sabotage Bush's 2004 campaign in the swing state.)
(Thanks Political Wire.)Posted October 24, 2002 08:02 AM | Comments (28)