Wednesday | May 07, 2003
Cattle Call 2004: 5/7
Last edition's rankings (two weeks ago): 1) Kerry, 2) Gephardt, 3) Dean, 4) Edwards, 5) Lieberman, 6) Graham, 7) Sharpton, 8) Kucinich, 9) Moseley Braun, and others.
Latest polls in the race (previous version of poll in parenthesis):
IowaThis week's rankings:
1. John Kerry
However, their single-minded obsession on Dean is unbecoming of a front-runner, and the spat is driving up his negatives in the race.
And in more bad news, his health continues to appear tenuous, while his poll numbers are slipping in both Iowa and New Hampshire. He'll need to stem the bleeding if he's to retain the top spot for much longer.
2. Dick Gephardt
Gephardt is also looking good in Iowa, where he's earned a bit of daylight between him and Kerry. It's enough to offset his poor showing in New Hampshire.
3. Howard Dean
Dean also needs to be careful about the anti-Dean backlash in the online activist community that has been building steadily over the past few weeks. This community helped push Dean into prominance, and it could help undo him.
On the flipside, Dean's poll numbers are looking good. Tied or close behind Kerry in New Hampshire, and a three-fold increase in Iowa putting him well within reach of the key number three slot that would mark him a player by the press corps. Given his low name ID, he's still got plenty of upside.
4. John Edwards
What does he have to do to attract support? All the money in the world won't get him elected without actual honest-to-goodness votes.
And tactically, what was he thinking going after Gephardt's health care plan? Dean I could understand -- the doctor is trying to claim the health care issue as his own, but what was Edwards thinking?
5. Joe Lieberman
His national poll numbers still look good, but they are worthless name ID surveys. In the polls that currently matter, IA and NH, he looks terrible and fading fast.
6. Bob Graham
7. Al Sharpton
8. Carol Moseley-Braun
Others: Biden (won't run) and Clark (back to 50/50).
p.s. MyDD, still in the midsts of finishing up his master thesis, has a flurry of new posts on the race.Posted May 07, 2003 10:02 AM | Comments (132)