Friday | August 08, 2003
KY, LA, MS governor races
With the political circus playing at a California or Texas location near you, it's hard to remember that there are other, regularly scheduled elections happening this year.
To be specific, we will see governor races in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. These three southern governorships will be hotly contested by both parties, who will be seeking "momentum" heading into the make-or-break 2004 election season. The DNC will also be test driving its newfangled voter database system, so we'll get an early indication whether McAuliffe's pet project has potential.
The latest polls, three months before the elections, are as follow:
Public Opinion Strategies (R) pollLouisiana
LA is an open seat being vacated by a Republican. Louisiana has about the weirdest electoral system in the nation. The general election is an open primary. If no candidate scores 50 percent of the vote, the top two vote getters face off in a December runoff. Given the latest polls, there is a real possibility that the runoff will feature two Democrats. This is almost certainly a (D) pickup.
As a bonus, a Democratic governor would put Mary Landrieu in play for the VP slot.
Southern Media & Opinion Research (non-partisan)Mississippi
MS will be a nail-biter, with incumbent Democrat Ronnie Musgrove facing off against ex-RNC chair Haley Barbour. There hasn't been any recent polling on the race, but Barbour will clearly be a serious threat for the seat.
Mississippi State Univ. PollUpdate: from chrississippi in the message boards:
Musgrove did WAY better than anybody anticipated Tuesday . . . which ought to be music to everyone's ears. Musgrove brought in 386,234 votes, while Barbour--who has plastered the state with TV adds running nonstop since this spring--received only 146,394. The next day he immediately started hammering about turning out the vote this November--clearly something that didn't happen for the primary, despite the ton of groundwork he laid.Posted August 08, 2003 12:31 AM