Thursday | August 14, 2003
Cattle Call 2004: 8/14
last week's rankings: 1) Dean, 2) Lieberman, 3) Gephardt, 4) Kerry, 5) Edwards, 6) Graham, 7) Sharpton, 8) Kucinich, and 9) Braun.
No significant polling this week, though the latest from InsiderAdvantage promises to be a doozy.
1. Howard Dean
2. Joe Lieberman
Still, his harsh criticisms of Dean and the party's progressive base are earning him coverage and solidifying his position as the anti-Dean. It may help him survive longer into the primary process (assuming, as I currently believe, that Dean would knock out Gephardt in Iowa and Kerry in NH), but doesn't seem a smart long-term strategy to the nomination.
3. Dick Gephardt
If Gephardt doesn't wow with its numbers, the AFL-CIO may decide to hitch up with a more viable campaign, and the decision would be crippling to his campaign. The mood in Gephardt headquarters couldn't have been too good.
On the other hand, if Geps numbers don't disappoint, and if he can garner that AFL-CIO bit, then his stock rises. He could have the strength to hold off Dean in Iowa, making him the anti-Dean and essentially knocking Lieberman out of the race. Lieberman needs Gep to lose Iowa.
4. John Kerry
5. John Edwards
7. Al Sharpton
He needs to start registering people to vote.
8. Dennis Kucinich
9. Carol Moseley-Braun
Others: Clark is gearing up to run. If he does, he'll take support from Dean (many of the Internet-based activists), from Kerry (Clark trumps the whole veteran schtick), from Lieberman (institutional support), and from Edwards (the Southern guy). Who would hurt the most remains to be seen.Posted August 14, 2003 11:08 AM